Seven months: The result of Delhi has given this gift to the Bharatiya Janata Party and the BJP -led Central Government.
For the next seven months, the BJP does not have to worry about winning the election until the campaign intensifies in the last lap of Bihar elections. It does not need to worry about its political reputation and strength which ended after the Lok Sabha elections, because it is no longer shown once, not twice, but three times – Haryana, Maharashtra and now in Delhi – That 2024 decision was not necessarily the beginning of the end.
It does not need to worry about a joint opposition, increasing a concrete attack, will only intensify the contradictions within the Indian National Developmental Alliance (India) block for these three electoral failures. And this does not have to worry about the expansion of Arvind Kejriwal’s national footprint in the future, in the future, a possibility can be threw well in adverse conditions of a decisive Aam Aadmi Party.
The BJP does not need to worry about any inequality in its internal equations within the party; There is complete clarity that Narendra Modi is the supreme, Amit Shah runs the machine and all the people get their power from the pair. It does not have to worry about clashes with a broad ideological family, in relations for post-Lok Sabha reset and closely consulting and coordinating the nationalist is working in the centenary year of the Self-Service Association. And this does not have to worry about the stability of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), will be careful for the collaborative nations to move very hard and see a constant encouragement in sticking to the brand.
Political place, policy challenge
But there is a lot that you have to worry about the BJP. And political gifts from Chandigarh, Mumbai and now Delhi give it a room to navigate those more important challenges. And these concerns come from the world of policy.
The urgency of the present moment cannot be eliminated. Steps in the budget to provide relief to the middle class and trigger demand and consumption can help help, but the fact that the Indian economy is not good and the jury is still out if the slowdown is cyclic or structural. As the Economic Survey has clearly indicated, the problem of trust with private investors, both domestic and foreigners. Despite a favorable international climate and an honest government push, manufacturing share has not increased, meaning the possibilities of creating employment opportunities, on a scale and frequent, slow. This issue is even more complicated, both dramatic changes with a deep and revisionist America rise in geopolitics, and in technology with dramatic progress in artificial intelligence, both have implications for economy and employment.
This remains a underlying crisis in the political economy, a crisis that was at least partially responsible for the BJP’s 2024 shock, a crisis that threatens to break its multi-caste and multi-class alliance, a crisis that That is the most difficult. To overcome.
A seven -month political gift from Delhi is the only opportunity that this government will get to focus on this policy challenge by 2029 during its tenure.
As soon as Bihar ends, the BJP’s focus will move to maintain Assam, increase a challenge in West Bengal and to create inroads in Tamil Nadu and Kerala. As soon as at the end of the mid -2012 elections, the BJP will start looking forward by 2027 and will work on elections in UP (to see if the party has recovered from 2024 cracks); It must find out ways to hold elections and win in Manipur, especially if the political reference is disturbed and the society is divided and the state authority remains critical; It will aim to increase its presence in Punjab; And he will have to worry about maintaining power in Uttarakhand and Goa.
Within the months of those state elections in early 2027, then in the last two rounds, its numbers will have to be reopened again without cushion. And in the end of 2027, Gujarat will be seen elections, in which BJP has completed 30 years of power in power in power in the state. The year 2028 will begin with elections in three northeastern states, politics will again move south in Karnataka in summer, and will return to the states of Heartland at the end of the year, even political competition for 2029 again Paes Paes.
This suggests that if the BJP has a window to really get its rule in order, it is this year when it feels politically safe and comfortable at a time. This can mean difficult political decisions. This can mean more difficult geophysical options. This may mean removing the perception that economic investigative agencies are forced tools against rivals, a perception that has stopped investment. This may mean that opening space for other private sector players is beyond those who are favorite. This may mean detecting more durable methods to finance which is clearly now a political consensus in favor of more expander income support. This may mean that working more cooperatively with the states being run by the parties opposing the BJP at the national level. If, after the Lok Sabha shock, the main mission of the BJP had to recover its political mojo, a task on which it has been remarkably successful, after the Delhi win, the doors are open to the BJP, which is open to the BJP, which has its policy and economic stockings If it is open to achieve again, if it chooses to grab it.
Asha, Udaya and Decrease
For the anti -BJP political constellation, the Delhi election results brings serious news.
New political structures that ride on hope and a personality can easily put the old political establishment as evil and offer a new future promise. But this is also their greatest vulnerability, for hopes a system easily collapses with easy solutions to structural problems and it is difficult to maintain a leader’s credibility. It is even more challenging that someone’s power and jurisdiction is limited.
This happened with AAP. It was working in a geography without regular security to the states introduced by the Constitution in view of the unique status of Delhi. This opened itself for allegations of hypocrisy and being in power in the same network of political corruption and being complicated by practicing power in ways that were not uneven to other political actors. The BJP had cleared an property Arvind Kejriwal, to doubt the party’s integrity quit. And the party’s otherwise admirable initiative in health and education had already achieved political success in the last round of elections and continued to give it a loyal basis, but it was not enough.
But for the future, this means that Kejriwal will have to rebuild his credibility under his party and more unfavorable conditions. He has a prestigious issue. His party is in power in Punjab, but the unit there is unlikely to be important in the service of a Delhi leader who lacks power. He will be trapped in a legal labyrinth. And he would have to find both a new message and become a more reliable messenger. This is completely possible, can also free him to be out of power and allow him to be a natural opposition figure that he is. But it will be a long trek ahead.
140th anniversary of political darkness
And, well, the Congress is what it is. Learn from the Grand Old Party how to throw political opportunities in a city that he ruled for 15 years and where there is real apathy for his rule. It is surprising that for three consecutive elections, Delhi voters have not even believed in a small assembly section, that it is worth choosing a Congress representative. The party is taking consolation with its role as a marginal increase or spoiled in vote share, but when someone has to stick to it as hope, the possibilities are slow.
The real meaning of the decision for the Congress is that like Bengal and Tamil Nadu, like UP and Bihar, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, the Delhi has become another marker in the long and slow and painful decline of the party. Given that the Congress is not in the picture as a junior ally in Bihar in the next elections, 2025 – Incidentally, the 140th anniversary of the party is not in the picture – a political dark year will remain for the party which will last eight months. Already thought that its fate was changing.
Broadly, eight months before the Lu Sabha elections, the anti-BJP constellation believed that it focused on BJP’s commitment to reservation, economic dissatisfaction, focus on exploiting optimistic income and weakening the Modi-Shah pair Was found. Maintaining support, and comprehensive political unity. The BJP has discovered a way to dent the efficacy of that formula with a mixture of strategies and this is a deep question about the further methods for the block of India.
Something is specially complicated about Delhi politics. It does not have the powers of complete status. It sends only seven members to the Lok Sabha. It dominated a party for a decade which had never happened to the central government. And yet, it is exceptionally impressive in shaping national politics and national public discourse. The fact is that it is a political and administrative capital, the headquarters of the media that reaches the country the most, and the house for almost every part of the country gives irony and impact to the politics of the house city.
But there is something beyond this. This political city is open to political experiments. This gave a chance to a political entrepreneur a chance a decade ago, it was ready to give a long fugitive to the start-up, it rewarded the organization after receiving the initial dividend, but when the start-up, for various reasons, started faltering. And “began to falter and” could “,” T graduates to become a stable medium -sized firm, investors cut their losses and went back to the major company. Does this desire to merge with a big player in the city work for voters who want a better life in Delhi.
