Monday, September 28, 2026
Home Blog Page 488

Chin2: ‘Aai was upset when I avoided Asha Bhosle’s grandson tag'

0
Chin2: ‘Aai was upset when I avoided Asha Bhosle’s grandson tag'


Chin2 Bhosle: ‘Aai was once upset when I avoided being called Asha Bhosle’s grandson; she asked, 'Are you ashamed of me?' | Exclusive

For Chin2 Bhosle, music goes far beyond legacy — it is rooted in deeply personal emotion and lived experience. The singer-composer opens up about his heartfelt tribute to his grandmother, legendary singer Asha Bhosle, the memories they shared, and the life lessons she left behind that continue to shape him.In an exclusive conversation with ETimes, Chin2 revisits the song that once moved her to tears and recalls spontaneous moments of performing together on stage, offering a rare and intimate glimpse into the person behind the legend. He also reflects on building his own identity despite carrying a celebrated surname, his shift from the corporate world to music, and the values of resilience and adaptability that have been passed down through his family.

You’ve released a tribute for your grandmother Chalte Chalte. Listening to it feels very personal and emotional. What were you going through when you decided to create this tribute?

There were two songs that I did for her. One is Chalte Chalte, which you obviously heard, and the other song is called Main Chala. It’s on the same line — from the perspective of going away. Like, I came to sing something, I lost it, and I have nothing left now, I am leaving. I had written these two songs around two years ago. At that time, she had lost my father Hemant Bhosle — her eldest son — and my aunt Varsha, her second child.We were sitting together one day and she was in great pain and grief. That’s when I wrote these songs. I composed and sang them as a scratch and told her, “Okay, the song is ready.” She heard it, had tears in her eyes, and cried. She was very emotional. She said, “Sorry Chintu, I can’t sing this because I get too emotional when I hear it. I can’t stop crying. I don’t want to hear this song again.” I said, “Okay, I’m so sorry. That was not my intention.”Three months later, she wanted to hear it again. She said, “Chintu…” and I said, “Yes.” I played it again, and again she broke down into tears. Then she said, “Actually, I don’t want to hear it. It’s the most beautiful song you’ve written and sung, but I can’t listen to it.” So I parked it. I said, no problem, I’ll revisit it later.After her passing, a lot of friends asked me, “What are you doing as a tribute?” I said, “Nothing. It’s very personal for me.” But then one day, we were sitting and listening to all the work we had done together, and I heard this song again. And I said, “This is it. This is her. This was made for her.”She had completely connected with this emotion. And finally, I am a musician — my way to emote is through music. So this became my tribute. Whether people like it, hate it, connect with it or not — that’s secondary for me.If anyone asks me, “What is your message to her? How do you feel now that she’s gone?” — this is my response. This is exactly how I feel, and this is the best way I can express it. The words and language I’ve used are exactly how I would talk to her.So for me, this song epitomises everything I want to say. We also put together photographs of our journey and created the video. And honestly, she couldn’t hear it then, and I can’t hear it now without tearing up. She really wanted to sing that song, but she couldn’t — maybe because she felt I had written it for her.

Asha ji has also performed with you?

WhatsApp Image 2026-04-22 at 13

Many times. Many, many times. Our first show was around 15 years ago in Surat. We had an understanding — I told her I will never ask when I can perform with you because I don’t want to pressure you. But I also said I will use emotional blackmail as your grandson — I want to perform with you. Of course I want to perform, that’s a given. But when you feel I am ready, please tell me. I will jump — I’ll jump 10 feet high and perform with you. One day we were just chatting and she asked, “What are you doing this weekend?” I said, “Nothing.” She said, “Come.”I literally jumped out of my chair. Finally.I remember our first duet — there was an interlude. I’m more of a Western performer, so I don’t stand still. I like to move, dance. But Indian performers traditionally stand still during interludes. She was singing, looking down, looking up. So I held her hand and gave her a little twirl. We danced a bit. She was taken aback at first, then she got into it. We even did a little waltz. She later told me, “You are like Kishore da. He used to do all this.” I told her, “I wish I could see his live shows.”Then I realised once in a Marathi show, she herself started dancing mid-performance with a stick. That’s when I told her, “This is where I get it from — from you!” She laughed. We’ve had some fantastic performances together — Surat, Bangalore, Shanmukhananda. I feel very lucky.

When Asha Bhosle reacted to the song, did you feel like an artist being appreciated or a grandson being understood?

Both. As an artist, I felt great that she appreciated my singing and composition. Even though it’s a slightly Western style, she liked it. As a grandson, I wasn’t very happy seeing her break down like that. But I was touched that we were on the same emotional wavelength.

You also teach music. What conversations did you have with Asha Bhosle about taking music forward?

Yes, I teach music. And we often discussed how to take music to the next generation. When I take sessions with kids — even 17-18-year-olds — and say, “Let’s do Hindustani music,” the reaction is almost always, “No, sir, it’s boring.”That shocked me initially.But then I realised — the way we teach is very rigid. It’s a deep, beautiful art form, but kids see it as “Sa Re Ga Ma” repetition. We used to sit for hours holding one note. No wonder kids find it boring today. I told her that if we don’t adapt, we will lose an entire generation. That’s when I started working on something very close to my heart — SRGMs.

What is ‘SRGMs’?

It’s about introducing music to very young children — nursery, KG levels. Kids learn best through music. Everything — “head, shoulders, knees and toes”, “twinkle twinkle” — is through rhythm and movement. So we created songs that teach values — like not being scared of doctors, learning to say please and thank you, understanding the world.I explained this to Aai and she was very interested. She asked, “You perform in stadiums, why kids?”I said, “Why not? Given my background, your teachings, and my experience, I am in the best position to do this.”She agreed. She said nobody can take her legacy forward in the same way — it’s untouchable. But values can be carried forward. And that’s what I’m trying to do.

Did you also learn music the same way at home, like how you teach your students now?

I have learned music, of course, but the teaching that stayed with me was more about the nuances. One thing that really stayed with me was when she said — what differentiates one singer from another?I can sing a song, Lata didi can sing the same song, Alka Yagnik can sing it, Sonu Nigam can sing it — everyone can sing the same composition. We all know technique, sur, pitch, rhythm, murki, ornamentation… everything.

But what makes it different?

The difference is that it’s not about showing how skilled you are. It’s about knowing when to hold back. It’s about knowing when to ornament. I can do a thousand murkis, but I don’t need to — because the song doesn’t demand it.You have to understand what emotion the song needs and then deliver that — not show off how ‘cool’ you are as a singer. These are lifelong lessons. She would sit with us, sing her old songs, and say — “I did this here, can you tell?” or “I softened this line to create this effect.” Those learnings are far more valuable than just technical riyaaz.

You were initially inclined towards a corporate career. What changed?

Yes, I’m an MBA — I studied at NMIMS around 1997, which was among the top institutes then. I was very clear that I would keep music as a serious hobby, get a stable job, and live life that way. So I joined an advertising agency — Mudra— and worked there for about a year and a half. But like with most creative people, something felt missing.I remember going to her and saying, “I want to take a break and give music a shot.” She was actually upset. She said, “Don’t leave your job, music is a very difficult field.” But I told her, “If I don’t try now, I’ll never know.” She asked if I wanted help. I said no — not unless I was desperate. I wanted doors to open because of my talent, not just my surname. That’s how it began.

How did Band of Boys shape your journey?

Chor-by-Justh-46-2

I did radio before Times FM launched — with All India Radio — and also did musical theatre like Evita. Then came Band of Boys. We did quite well, but people would ask, “Are you related to Asha Bhosle?” I wouldn’t deny it, but I would dodge it humorously. I wanted people to know me first.Later, when she heard one such interview, she was upset. She asked, “Are you ashamed of me?” I said, “Not at all. I’m proud. But I want people to say — I know Chin2, and oh, he’s also Ashaji’s grandson.” That feels more earned. Eventually, I told her — now I will proudly say it. And she said, “Yes, you should.” The first time I actually asked her for professional help was to launch Band of Boys — and she did.

Do you feel pressure to carry forward such a massive legacy?

If we put that crown on our heads — that we will carry forward her legacy — we are living in a fool’s world. What she has done is untouchable. There will never be another Asha Bhosle. The world has changed — values, skill sets, everything. Who is going to sing 12,000 songs today? It’s impossible. We can’t replicate her legacy. But we can carry forward her values in our own way. If even in a small way, something we do reflects positively on her, that’s enough.

Watch

Asha Tai’s Final Goodbye: Nation Pays Tribute With State Honours and Emotional Farewell

What was Asha Bhosle like at home?

She was everything — a grandmother, a mother, a homemaker, a friend. But she carried the same energy the world knows her for — even at home. Whether it was discussing AI, cooking food, or just chatting — she had endless energy. She would come back tired from recordings, and if you visited, before you could say anything, she would be in the kitchen cooking something for you. And she never said, “I’m tired.” At 92, she was still curious, still learning, still engaging. For me, if I ever say I’m tired, I feel like I should be slapped — because she never did.

Your favourite memory with Asha Bhosle?

Mutton biryani. She would cook it like a goddess — subtle, perfect. And it didn’t stop at cooking. She would serve you herself, pick the best pieces, sit and watch you eat, and chat. Those moments — the warmth, the love — that’s what stays with me.

How did your parents shape your life?

My mom Alka Bhosle has been my backbone. She’s not a musician, but she supported me through everything — especially when I left my job. She always said — follow your passion, I’m with you. I’ve grown up around very strong women — my grandmother, my mother, my wife. Everything I am comes from them.

What’s the biggest life lesson from them?

One word — adapt. They’ve seen massive highs and lows. And in those low moments, you either give up or adapt. They always said — how you respond when life hits you defines you. When tragedy struck, I saw it firsthand. And the lesson was simple: “Adapt. Move forward.” That mindset has stayed with me.

How would you sum up your journey today?

I’m now focused on teaching music to children — building something at scale, almost like a “Disney of learning through music.” This is something very close to my heart. Music is who I am. Family values are what shaped me. Everything I am — and everything I will be — is because of my family. If I had to say one thing at this stage of life — appreciate your family. Because they make you who you are.


Relatives of 10 scientists who died or vanished grapple with impact of wild speculation

0
Relatives of 10 scientists who died or vanished grapple with impact of wild speculation



Conspiracies are running rampant online after the deaths or disappearances of at least 10 people tied to sensitive US research.


Reliance Industries Q4 results: Net profit falls 12.5%; Jio PAT rises 13%

0
Reliance Industries Q4 results: Net profit falls 12.5%; Jio PAT rises 13%


Reliance Industries Q4 results: Net profit falls 12.5%; Jio PAT rises 13%

RIl Q4 FY26 results: Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries reported a decline in its consolidated net profit for the fourth quarter of 2025–26, even as revenue registered year-on-year increase. The dip came amid the ongoing Middle East crisis, which has choked the firm’s primary oil and chemicals business, offsetting gains in consumer-facing telecom and retail units. The company posted a net profit of Rs 16,971 crore for the quarter, down 12.5% from Rs 19,407 crore over the corresponding period last year. On a sequential basis, profit declined 8% against Rs 18,645 crore recorded in the December quarter.Meanwhile, revenue from operations rose 13% year-on-year to Rs 2.98 lakh crore during the reporting period, driven by its key businesses including oil-to-chemicals (O2C), digital services and retail, all of which delivered double-digit revenue growth.At the operating level, the company reported a marginal decline in performance. EBITDA slipped 0.3% year-on-year to Rs 48,588 crore, while margins contracted by 200 basis points to 14.9% compared with the previous year period. Strong growth in digital services and a positive contribution from retail were offset by a decline in the energy segment.“Through FY26, we faced geopolitical disruptions, volatile energy prices and shifting global trade patterns. These headwinds weighed on businesses across the world. The breadth of our portfolio and strong domestic orientation helped navigate volatility in the external environment,” said Mukesh Ambani, chairman and managing director, as cited by ET.The company’s board has recommended a dividend of Rs 6 per share for the financial year ended March 2026.

Jio Q4 results

At the same time, Jio platform’s performance remained firm. For the March quarter, the entity’s profit after tax (PAT) rose 13% to Rs 7,935 crore, up from Rs 7,022 crore in the same quarter last year.During the period, revenue from operations came in at Rs 38,259 crore, registering a 12.5% increase compared to Rs 39,853 crore a year ago.The company’s average revenue per user (ARPU), for the business that includes Reliance Jio, climbed 3.8% to Rs 214 in the reported quarter, from Rs 206.2 in the corresponding period last year.


Kajol admits struggling with parenting her Gen Z daughter Nysa Devgan

0
Kajol admits struggling with parenting her Gen Z daughter Nysa Devgan



Kajol admits struggling with parenting her Gen Z daughter Nysa Devgan

Kajol and Ajay Devgn’s daughter, Nysa Devgan, has often caught the public eye. Recently, Kajol opened up about how she struggled with parenting her Gen Z daughter. The actress admitted that it was difficult and that they fought a lot for almost 3 years.

Kajol about parenting Nysa Devgn

During her appearance on Lilly Singh’s podcast, Kajol was seen discussing Gen Z parenting hacks. While talking to the host, Kajol opened up about her relationship with Nysa, admitting that it was a relationship they had to work on. “I have a lot of talks with her, I talk to her through things. It’s a relationship that we had to build. Hormones hit, and she was 12. And we were all over the place. We were fighting, and we were both irrational at times. We were both illogical at times. Being the adult, I stood up, and I said, I should be a little more rational. I decided that I am not going to fight with her that much; I’m going to try to talk to her. As much as I can talk at her till she starts listening to me. And work with her,” Kajol revealed.


Sanjay Dutt announces ‘Khalnayak' sequel, says he got idea for movie in jail

0
Sanjay Dutt announces ‘Khalnayak' sequel, says he got idea for movie in jail


Mumbai, Actor Sanjay Dutt on Friday announced his new film, “Khalnayak Returns”, which will be a fresh interpretation of the 1993 cult classic.

Sanjay Dutt announces ‘Khalnayak' sequel, says he got idea for movie in jail
Sanjay Dutt announces ‘Khalnayak’ sequel, says he got idea for movie in jail

Dutt’s Three Dimension Motion Pictures and Producer Aksha Kamboj’s Aspect Entertainment have jointly secured the rights from filmmaker Subhash Ghai and his company Mukta Arts for the second part of the iconic action-crime movie, which also featured Jackie Shroff and Madhuri Dixit.

The makers unveiled a brief teaser of “Khalnayak Returns” at a special event, with Dutt reprising his iconic role of Ballu in a rugged new avatar.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

The 66-year-old actor thanked Ghai for allowing him to make “Khalnayak” again.

“The journey of ‘Khalnayak’ has been long and without Subhash ji it wouldn’t have been possible. He is a legend and the man of entertainment. He will be part of this ‘Khalnayak’,” Dutt told reporters here.

The actor revealed that while he was serving his jail term in connection with the 1993 Mumbai blast case, he began developing the idea to take forward the story of “Khalnayak”.

“In jail, I asked everyone around me who will be interested to watch it. And the 4,000 inmates said they all would. I asked all of them to write one page about it and it took me a while to read all the 4,000 pages.

“When I came out on parole, I asked Subhash sir to go through it. After that, he said it should be made,” Dutt said.

Ghai said he is elated that the actor is making “Khalnayak Returns”.

“It was his inner wish and passion of Sanju and Maanyata to make this . I’m sure it’s going to be a better . I’m always there to be of any help,” the filmmaker said.

The original film, directed and produced by Ghai, is remembered as one of the biggest hits of the 1990s, and has attained cult status over the years. It featured Dutt as the anti-hero Ballu, Jackie Shroff as police officer Ram and Madhuri as undercover police officer Ganga.

The newly acquired rights pave the way for a fresh interpretation of the cult classic. While the format, whether a remake, sequel, prequel, or a new script altogether remains under wraps, the collaboration promises to bring the essence of the original to contemporary audiences while retaining its nostalgic appeal, the makers said.

Dutt and Kamboj have roped in Jyoti Deshpande of Jio Studios to creatively helm it.

Fresh from the blockbuster success of the two “Dhurandhar” films, which also featured Dutt in a pivotal role, Deshpande said she is grateful for all the love pouring in for the movie.

“‘Dhurandhar’ became part of pop culture, not referring to the box office success of the film, people have not stopped talking about it, and that’s what you call becoming part of pop culture, you can’t escape it.

“That’s what ‘Khalnayak’ did in 1993, it was a path breaking and genre defining film, people were shocked with the film, the story, characters, music, the peak detailing, each aspect of the film was enjoyed by generations,” Deshpande said, adding, she is looking forward to give a new ‘tadka’ and a ‘new life’ to “Khalnayak”.

This article was generated from an automated news agency feed without modifications to text.


Dhruva Sarja's KD The Devil trailer removed from YouTube due to ‘uncertified content’ weeks after Nora Fatehi song

0
Dhruva Sarja's KD The Devil trailer removed from YouTube due to ‘uncertified content’ weeks after Nora Fatehi song


The producers of Prem’s Dhruva Sarja-starrer KD: The Devil took down the film’s trailer a day after releasing it. They put out a statement claiming it was taken down for including ‘uncertified content’. This comes weeks after the Hindi version of a song from the film titled Sarke Chunar Teri Sarke, starring Sanjay Dutt and Nora Fatehi, had run into trouble and had to be taken down.

Shilpa Shetty, Dhruva Sarja, Sanjay Dutt, Nora Fatehi and others star in KD: The Devil.
Shilpa Shetty, Dhruva Sarja, Sanjay Dutt, Nora Fatehi and others star in KD: The Devil.

KD: The Devil trailer removed from YouTube

KVN Productions released a statement about the trailer being taken down that read: “The trailer of KD: The Devil recently released on YouTube inadvertently included certain uncertified content during certification process. We have therefore taken down the trailer and will be uploading a revised version shortly, in compliance with the certification guidelines. We sincerely regret this oversight and remain fully committed to adhering to all certification norms.”

Internet calls out back to back issues

The production house, which also helmed Yash’s Toxic, postponed and received flak for explicit content, and Vijay’s Jana Nayagan, delayed by the CBFC for months and eventually leaked online, faced the wrath of the internet. One person wrote, “KVN and CBFC, never ending love story.”

A miffed X (formerly Twitter) user commented, “What is really happening with KVN Productions? Jananayagan gets accessed by unauthorized freelancers and leaked online in HD quality. Now KD trailer has uncertified content? This is becoming a joke!” One wondered, “They can’t even resolve these type of thing i dont how will they manage toxic with so much violence.”

An X user listed out, “Why you people do such things. Jan nayagan also facing issue, KD was also not upto the level, kabzaa was also below expectation toxic was also delayed due to whatever reason.”

The Nora Fatehi song that received flak

The song Sarse Ninna Sarega Sarse from KD, released in Hindi as Sarke Chunar Teri Sarke, ran into trouble for suggestive lyrics penned by the director, Prem. They were translated into Hindi by Raqueeb Alam. The song’s video and lyrics were termed ‘vulgar’ and ‘suggestive’ receiving immense backlash after release.

Nora, who starred in the song, insisted that she did not know the meaning of it when she danced. Mangli, who had sung it in all languages, claimed that a new version of the song was being recorded with different lyrics. The song had to be taken down from YouTube after the National Commission for Women (NCW) issued notices.


US appeals court rejects Trump’s ban on asylum seekers, teeing up appeal | Migration News

0
US appeals court rejects Trump’s ban on asylum seekers, teeing up appeal | Migration News


Judges say Trump’s order for swift removal at the border ‘cast aside federal laws affording’ right to seek asylum.

An appeals court has ruled that President Donald Trump’s ban on asylum applications in the United States is unlawful, dealing a setback to the administration’s immigration crackdown.

In a decision released on Friday, a three-judge panel from the US Court of Appeals in Washington, DC, found that existing laws — namely the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) — give people the right to apply for asylum at the border.

Recommended Stories

list of 3 itemsend of list

Trump had issued the asylum ban in a proclamation on January 20, 2025, on the first day of his second term.

But the appeals court questioned whether suspending asylum unilaterally was within the president’s power.

“Congress did not intend to grant the Executive the expansive removal authority it asserts,” the ruling said.

“The Proclamation and Guidance are thus unlawful to the extent that they circumvent the INA’s removal procedures and cast aside federal laws affording individuals the right to apply and be considered for asylum or withholding of removal protections.”

The decision validated a ruling by a lower court. While the judges blocked Trump’s order, it is unclear what its immediate impact will be. Already, the White House has signalled it plans to appeal.

Trump made immigration a major pillar of his 2024 re-election campaign, pledging to repel what he describes as an “invasion” of migrants by shutting down the southern border of the US.

Asylum in the US can be granted to people facing “persecution based on race, religion, nationality, political opinion, or membership in a particular social group”. Such protections have been recognised as a fundamental human right under international law.

But unauthorised border crossings reached record levels during the administration of President Joe Biden, which had itself imposed asylum restrictions.

Millions of migrants — many suffering from gang violence and political persecution in Central and South America — have claimed asylum upon reaching the US.

Nearly 945,000 filed for asylum in 2023, according to the Department of Homeland Security.

In his January 2025 decree, Trump suspended “the physical entry of aliens involved in an invasion into the United States across the southern border”.

The proclamation was quickly challenged in court, as other measures in Trump’s immigration crackdown have been.

But the appeals court panel concluded that the INA does not authorise the president to remove the plaintiffs under “procedures of his own making”.

Nor does it allow him to suspend the plaintiffs’ right to apply for asylum or curtail procedures for adjudicating claims of torture and persecution.

“The power by proclamation to temporarily suspend the entry of specified foreign individuals into the United States does not contain implicit authority to override the INA’s mandatory process to summarily remove foreign individuals,” wrote Judge J Michelle Childs, a Biden appointee.

The Trump administration will likely appeal the ruling to the full appellate court and subsequently to the Supreme Court.

The White House stressed after the court’s decision that banning asylum is part of Trump’s constitutional powers as commander-in-chief.

“We have liberal judges across the country who are acting against this president for political purposes. They are not acting as true litigators of the law. They are looking at these cases from a political lens,” White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt told reporters.


Aamir compares Arijit to Rafi, Lata, Asha, Kishore, Sonu

0
Aamir compares Arijit to Rafi, Lata, Asha, Kishore, Sonu


Aamir Khan compares Arijit Singh to Mohammed Rafi, Lata Mangeshkar, Asha Bhosle, Kishore Kumar and Sonu Nigam: ‘All are storytellers’

After reports of acclaimed singer Arijit Singh announcing his retirement from playback singing earlier this year, Bollywood superstar Aamir Khan visited him at his home in Murshidabad and urged him not to step away from music.Speaking about the visit, Aamir called it an “amazing, lifetime experience” and said, “I was extremely happy after meeting him.”

‘We were shocked when we heard about retirement’

Aamir told Radio Nasha, “We were shocked, wondering if he would sing for us now,” referring to the retirement buzz around Arijit.He added that it was his idea to travel to Arijit’s home with composer Ram Sampath for recording sessions for Ek Din, a film co-produced by Aamir and starring his son Junaid Khan.Aamir recalled, “I called Arijit to ask whether we should come, and he said he would fulfil the commitment he made to us.”Describing the time spent together, Aamir said, “It was a magical four days.”He added, “Arijit is not just a great singer… he is also a storyteller. He tells stories through his songs.”

Watch

Aamir Khan Remembers Dharmendra Loved his ‘Lahore 1947’ Script!

‘All legendary singers are storytellers’

Drawing comparisons with Indian music legends, Aamir said, “Rafi saab, Kishore da, Asha ji, Lata ji, and Sonu Nigam have all told stories through their singing. Arijit has that same quality.”He further said, “He is a really gifted and talented singer and storyteller,” and added, “He is an amazing human being who immerses himself in his work.”Aamir also shared, “We had so much fun even while we were working.”Aamir said, “I got to meet his father, wife and children. They are all very nice people, and so is his team.”

About Ek Din

Ek Din, starring Sai Pallavi and Junaid Khan, is directed by Sunil Pandey and written by Sneha Desai and Spandan Mishra. The film is produced by Aamir Khan Productions and is set for a worldwide release on May 1.


Is El Nino a bigger threat to India’s high GDP, low inflation balance than the Middle East crisis? Explained

0
Is El Nino a bigger threat to India’s high GDP, low inflation balance than the Middle East crisis? Explained


Is El Nino a bigger threat to India's high GDP, low inflation balance than the Middle East crisis? Explained
If a weaker monsoon impacts the output of crops, then higher food prices will feed quickly into inflation, a risk that is too real to be ignored. (AI image)

India, backed by its strong domestic growth story, is the world’s fastest growing major economy. Which is not to say it is without its vulnerabilities. The US-Iran war has brought home industry-wide supply disruptions, oil and LPG supply restrictions, and fear of imported inflation in the form of higher crude and raw material prices. But the domestic consumption story holds strong, say economists.So much so that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has actually raised India’s GDP growth forecast for this fiscal to 6.5% while downgrading most other economies. Yet India is faced with the fresh risk of less than normal monsoons. Will this stoke inflation further, adding another chink in India’s growth armour?

Change in IMF Global Growth Forecast for 2026

The India Meteorological Department has forecast the possibility of El Nino conditions during the South West monsoon season. The seasonal rainfall in India is likely to be at around 92% of the Long Period Average. According to an SBI Research report, the forecast is the lowest since 2002!Economists and experts note that a weak monsoon will add to the woes caused by higher crude oil prices, and fertilizer supply disruptions. While the exact impact of the Middle East conflict will depend on its duration, the supply chain issues will not be immediately resolved even if the US and Iran agree to end the war.If a weaker monsoon impacts the output of crops, then higher food prices will feed quickly into inflation, a risk that is too real to be ignored.

What is El Nino and how does it feed into inflation?

First, let’s understand what El Nino is – it’s the warming of sea-surface temperatures, which happens periodically, in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. This disrupts global weather patterns, and the impact is felt differently depending on what part of the world you are in.For India, it can weaken the Southwest monsoon, hence leading to below-normal rainfall and sometimes raising the risk of drought.

Impact of monsoon on agri growth and inflation

According to the Ministry of Earth Sciences: In general, during the El Nino event, the Indian summer monsoon is weaker than normal, and the intensity of the event also decides the amount of impact on the monsoon. Since 1950, there have been 16 El Nino years, out of which 7 years had impacted Indian monsoon rainfall when rainfall was below normal. Yuvika Singhal, Economist at QuantEco explains that the while El Nino around August could mean a timely onset of monsoon and its initial progress, and thus a near normal sowing for the upcoming Kharif season, a shortfall in rainfall over Aug-Sep-26, could materially weigh on quality as well quantity of Kharif crop production. “This downside in production may get amplified by inadequate stocks of fertilizers amidst the Middle East crisis. Eventually, this could lead to an upside in food prices in the second half of FY27, especially those of perishables, pulses and oilseeds,” she tells TOI. Government’s offloading of buffer stocks of rice and wheat via open market sales, may keep a lid on cereal prices, she adds.A summer El Nino may pose a greater threat to Indian monsoon, says SBI Research in its latest report. Among tomatoes, onions and potatoes, SBI Research expects the prices of tomatoes to shoot up due to El Nino. No impact on potato prices is seen, while onion prices tend to trouble the common man even in case of a normal monsoon year.

Tomato prices may shoot up

Apart from tomatoes, which items are likely to be impacted?Sachchidanand Shukla, Group Chief Economist at Larsen & Toubro says, the commodities most likely to see the sharpest price rise from El Nino are food-linked crops among domestic ones and cocoa, coffee, sugar, palm oil among global ones. High crude prices add a second layer of pressure to energy-linked items such as fuel, fertilizers, and logistics costs, he tells TOI.SBI Research notes that the contribution of allied activities in agricultural (Gross Value Added) GVA has been constantly expanding from 35% in FY12 to around 46% by FY24. This implies that the impact of El Nino is likely to be contained, it says.

What does it mean for inflation numbers and GDP?

Back to back supply shocks in the form of crude oil, gas, fertilizers, and now possibly crops may imply a situation of higher than expected inflation, and lower than projected GDP growth.SBI Research estimates that only El Nino is likely to have a negligible impact on India’s GDP growth. However, a condition of El Nino plus drought is estimated to bring down GDP by around 20 bps in the median estimate and around 65 bps in the extreme scenario, it says.

Quantile wise estimated impact on GDP

Ranen Banerjee. Partner and Leader, Economic Advisory Services, PwC India says that if a full El Nino effect comes in, the IMD has forecasted around 8-10% shortfall in monsoon rains from the long term average. The impact this year of a shortfall in monsoon rains could be exacerbated by the fact that the reservoir levels are running below half their capacities, he warns.This will lead to a spike in food inflation for the Kharif crop. If the elevated fertiliser prices and their lower availability continues from a prolonged conflict induced disruption in supplies, then there could be adverse impacts on the Rabi output too, Banerjee explains.“With a very low base of food inflation, the headline inflation is likely to go higher and breach 5% but it is likely to be still within the 6% higher tolerance band of the RBI in Q3 and Q4,” he tells TOI.Yuvika Singhal is of the view that inflation will also depend on the intensity as well as duration of the conflict in the Middle East. She points out that even in the best-case scenario, if the ongoing negotiations between US and Iran were to lead to an end of war immediately, the damage to oil infrastructure in the Gulf as well as normalisation of energy supplies could take at least a few weeks.

  • Keeping in mind the high dependency of India on imports of crude oil, LNG as well as LPG, as also the sharp escalation in energy prices, the pass-through to inflation especially WPI is already underway.
  • We saw a near doubling of WPI inflation in March to 3.88% from 2.13% in February, led by rise in cost of energy as well as other crude derivatives used in a variety of industries (Rubber, plastic, Chemicals etc.).
  • In comparison, upside in CPI has been restrained, as the government continues to insulate consumers.
  • Having said that, if the Middle East conflict does not de-escalate soon, the high under-recoveries on both petrol and diesel may compel the government to pass the cost burden to consumers partially.
  • A hike of Rs 5 each in petrol and diesel price, could add 20-25 bps to headline CPI inflation directly, with 90% of this increment coming from petrol. For now the government has clarified that there are no plans to raise petrol or diesel prices.
  • Topping this would be back loaded pressure on food prices in the second half of FY27 owing to the anticipated below normal performance of Southwest monsoon, she says.

Singhal says it is prudent to await the second long-range monsoon forecast from IMD, to assess fully the upside risks to food inflation. “Assuming an average crude oil price of $85 per barrel and a below normal monsoon, we forecast FY27 CPI inflation at 4.5% and India GDP growth at 6.6%. Needless to add, risks to inflation and growth are stacked on the upside and downside respectively,” she says.Sachchidanand Shukla believes that more than a weaker monsoon, persistently high crude oil prices would have an impact on inflation.“A weaker monsoon can hurt kharif output and lift prices of staples and edible oils. However, the key risk is if crude oil remains persistently higher than it can feed into fuel, freight, and input costs, which then spill over into broader inflation. That may pose a risk to RBI’s 4.6% estimate for FY27,” Shukla told TOI.

Growth Outlook revised downwards, raised for India

With this combination (weak monsoon + high crude prices) one can expect some pressure on real income and consumption if inflation rises faster than wages. Growth can be a tad slower in the first half of the fiscal, if rising inflation constrains consumer spending, he says.“Net-net we are likely to face a period of firmer inflation and softer growth risks in the first half but that will still be much better than peers or global average,” he concludes.SBI Research exudes confidence: India continues to demonstrate resilience with GDP likely to grow in the range of around 6.8%-7.1%, despite global uncertainties and regional conflicts. Its report lists strong domestic consumption, investment in infrastructure, and robust services sector as drivers of economic growth. On the flip side, geopolitical issues, oil prices, supply chain disruptions, and now El Nino pose a risk to the outlook.


Ahaan Panday wants to work with Aryan Khan for this reason

0
Ahaan Panday wants to work with Aryan Khan for this reason



Ahaan Panday wants to work with Aryan Khan for this reason

Ahaan Panday rose to stardom from his debut film, Saiyaara, and has since then built a loyal fanbase, which eagerly awaits his upcoming projects. Recently, the actor opened up about his wish to collaborate with Aryan Khan. He emphasised that any future project should be rooted in a genuine connection rather than superficial reasons.

Ahaan Panday on working with Aryan Khan

During an exclusive interview with Filmfare, Ahaan was asked whether Aryan and he can be a striking director-actor duo. Ahaan replied to this saying, “Yeah, in the future, why not? Not for anything superficial, not because of Bads…(The Ba***ds of Bollywood) or Saiyaara, but because of a real bond.”