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Big shift in India’s job market! Why fixed term employment is the new normal and what it means for employees

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Big shift in India’s job market! Why fixed term employment is the new normal and what it means for employees


Big shift in India’s job market! Why fixed term employment is the new normal and what it means for employees
Fixed term employment is steadily emerging as a mainstream form of hiring. (AI image)

India’s world of work is changing. Businesses today operate in an environment marked by rapid technological shifts, evolving geopolitical dynamics, seasonal demand cycles, project‑based work and intense global competition. Geopolitical realignments, supply‑chain reconfiguration and cross‑border regulatory developments are influencing how organisations plan operations and deploy talent. At the same time, employees are increasingly open to diverse career paths that may include short‑term assignments, project roles or specialised engagements.Against this backdrop, fixed term employment (FTE) is steadily emerging as a mainstream form of hiring. Far from being an exception, it is now formally recognised and regulated under India’s new labour codes, particularly the Industrial Relations Code, 2020 and the Code on Social Security, 2020. Rather than creating a new concept, the labour codes acknowledge a reality that already exists in many sectors — and bring it within a clearer, more transparent legal framework.

What is fixed term employment?

In simple terms, fixed term employment means hiring an employee directly on the employer’s payroll for a clearly defined period, backed by a written contract. The contract specifies the start date and the end date, and the employment comes to an end automatically once the term expires.For example, a company may hire a software tester for a 12-month product implementation project, or a manufacturing unit may recruit additional technicians for a six-month peak production cycle. Once the period ends, the contract concludes by design.The labour codes formally define and recognise such arrangements, removing ambiguity around their legality.

Why fixed term employment matters in today’s economy?

India’s economy increasingly relies on time-bound projects and specialised skills. Infrastructure projects, digital transformation initiatives, expansion into new markets, compliance-led programmes and seasonal business spikes all require manpower for defined durations.Earlier, organisations often relied on contractor arrangements to meet these needs. The labour codes take a different approach – they encourage direct employment, even if the engagement is for a limited period.This shift supports a more formal labour market while allowing businesses to remain agile.

Understanding Fixed Term Employment

Equal treatment under the labour codes

One of the most important features of fixed term employment under the labour codes is parity of treatment. A fixed term employee is entitled to the same wages, working hours, allowances and statutory benefits as a permanent employee performing similar work. The only difference lies in the duration of the employment, not in the quality of protection.This means that a fixed term employee cannot be paid less simply because the contract is time-bound. Provident fund, ESI (where applicable), leave entitlements and other statutory benefits apply in the same manner, calculated proportionately. Consider a technology services company undertaking a time‑bound enterprise system migration for a large client, such as moving legacy applications to a cloud‑based platform. To support this programme, the company hires experienced project managers and solution leads on a nine‑month fixed‑term basis. These professionals are issued formal appointment letters clearly setting out the fixed duration of employment. During the contract period, they are paid wages and benefits comparable to permanent employees performing similar roles and are covered under applicable social security provisions, including provident fund. Once the migration project is completed and the systems are stabilised, the employment comes to an end automatically in line with the contract terms. This arrangement allows the organisation to access specialised capabilities for a defined period while providing employees with clarity, parity and statutory protection.

Gratuity and social security: A notable change

A significant reform under the Code on Social Security, 2020 relates to gratuity eligibility for fixed term employees.Traditionally, gratuity required five years of continuous service. Under the labour codes, fixed term employees become eligible for gratuity on a pro-rata basis after completing one year of service.This is particularly relevant for project-based roles that may last one to three years and were earlier outside the gratuity framework.For instance, an engineer hired on a two-year fixed term contract for a renewable energy project would now be eligible for gratuity at the end of the contract, proportionate to the period worked.

Gratuity for a Fixed Term Employee

Predictability for employers, transparency for employees

Fixed term employment introduces predictability into workforce planning. Employers know the duration of engagement upfront, while employees have clarity on tenure, compensation and benefits from day one.Importantly, the end of a fixed term contract does not amount to retrenchment under the Industrial Relations Code, as the employment ends by the “efflux of time” specified in the contract.This legal clarity reduces disputes and allows organisations to plan staffing needs more efficiently, especially in sectors affected by demand cycles.

Where fixed term employment is commonly used

Fixed‑term employment is prevalent across a wide range of sectors in India, including information technology and digital services, manufacturing and engineering, e‑commerce and logistics, infrastructure and construction, hospitality and tourism, as well as research, consulting and project‑based roles. These arrangements are commonly used to meet time‑bound business requirements, manage demand variability, or access specialised skills for defined periods. Importantly, the labour codes do not restrict fixed‑term employment to specific industries, allowing organisations across the economy to use this model as a flexible and compliant workforce option.Fixed term employment is not contract labour – It is important to distinguish fixed term employment from contract labour.A fixed term employee is directly employed by the organisation and works under its supervision and control. This is different from contract labour, where workers are engaged through a contractor.By encouraging fixed term hiring on the principal employer’s rolls, the labour codes promote greater accountability and reduce dependence on multi-layered contracting structures.

What it means for employees and employers

For employees, fixed‑term employment provides access to formal employment arrangements with full statutory benefits, along with opportunities to work on high‑impact assignments and well‑defined projects. It enables greater mobility across roles, organisations and industries, while offering clarity through transparent contractual terms and a clearly defined tenure. Many professionals today increasingly view fixed‑term roles as a practical way to build specialised skills, gain exposure to different sectors, or contribute to large and meaningful projects, without necessarily committing to long‑term employment.For employers, it enables workforce flexibility that can be aligned closely with business cycles, project timelines and evolving operational needs. It provides a compliance‑backed framework for short‑term hiring, allowing organisations to plan manpower requirements with greater certainty and discipline, rather than relying on informal or ad‑hoc arrangements. Fixed‑term roles also support better cost planning while reducing legal ambiguity around tenure‑based positions, as the duration and terms of employment are contractually defined from the outset. As organisations revisit compensation structures and workforce strategies in the context of the labour codes, fixed‑term employment is increasingly being viewed as a legitimate and deliberate workforce design choice, rather than an exception to standard employment models.

A gradual but steady shift

The labour codes do not mandate the use of fixed term employment. Instead, they create an enabling framework where such arrangements can be used responsibly and transparently.Over time, as state rules are finalised and organisations align their HR practices, fixed term employment is likely to coexist alongside permanent roles, each serving different business needs.Rather than replacing permanent employment, fixed term roles complement it — particularly in a fast-changing economy where not all work fits a one-size-fits-all model.Fixed term employment reflects a broader shift in India’s labour landscape: from informality to formalisation, from ambiguity to clarity, and from rigid structures to balanced flexibility.By recognising and regulating fixed term employment, the labour codes acknowledge modern work realities while ensuring statutory protections remain intact. As businesses and professionals adapt to this framework, fixed term employment is steadily becoming part of the new normal — structured, transparent and aligned with India’s evolving economy.(Puneet Gupta is Partner, People Advisory Services Tax at EY India)


Iconic and a huge challenge – Ruth Jones on her role in Austen-inspired comedy

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Iconic and a huge challenge – Ruth Jones on her role in Austen-inspired comedy



Ruth Jones and Richard E Grant star in new BBC comedy drama The Other Bennet Sister


Amitabh Bachchan mourns the loss of a ‘very dear friend’

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Amitabh Bachchan mourns the loss of a ‘very dear friend’


Amitabh Bachchan gets emotionaal as he mourns the loss of a ‘very dear friend’, says 'one by one they all leave'
Megastar Amitabh Bachchan turned emotional as he mourned the loss of a “very dear friend”. The veteran actor took to his personal blog on Thursday to share a heartfelt note remembering his late friend and the bond they shared. In his emotional message, Amitabh described his friend as someone who always found a solution even in the toughest situations and carried immense warmth and humour.

Megastar Amitabh Bachchan turned emotional as he mourned the loss of a “very dear friend”. The veteran actor took to his personal blog on Thursday to share a heartfelt note remembering his late friend and the bond they shared.In his emotional message, Amitabh described his friend as someone who always found a solution even in the toughest situations and carried immense warmth and humour.“Lost another very dear friend… one filled with immense affection and humour,” Amitabh wrote in his blog.Recalling his friend’s personality, the actor added that he was someone who could handle any situation with a calm smile. “A force to reckon with in any situation… always finding a way out of the most difficult… a smile on his face ever… just cannot imagine he is gone… one by one they all leave,” he wrote, expressing his grief.Soon after the post surfaced online, fans filled the comment section with condolences and messages of support for the veteran actor.

Amitabh’s blog tributes to friends and colleagues

Amitabh has often used his blog to reflect on personal memories and to pay tribute to friends and colleagues from the film industry. Last year, when veteran actor Dharmendra passed away, the megastar had penned a long and emotional tribute remembering their association.In his note at the time, Amitabh had written, “Dharam ji, the epitome of greatness, ever linked not only for his renowned physical presence, but for the largeness of his heart and its most endearing simplicity.”He had further added that Dharmendra carried the “earthiness of the village in Punjab he came from” and remained true to his temperament throughout his long and celebrated career in the film industry.

Amitabh Bachchan Gets Emotional After Watching Grandson Agastya Nanda In ‘Ikkis’ Trailer

Amitabh Bachchan’s recent and upcoming films

On the work front, Amitabh was last seen in the Tamil-language action drama Vettaiyan, directed by T. J. Gnanavel and produced by Subaskaran Allirajah. The film also featured a star-studded cast including Rajinikanth, Manju Warrier, Fahadh Faasil and Rana Daggubati. The veteran actor will next be seen in the sequel to Kalki 2898 AD directed by Nag Ashwin. He is also expected to appear in Brahmastra Part Two: Dev, the sequel to the fantasy drama directed by Ayan Mukerji.


Rishabh Pant undergoes special training with Yuvraj Singh ahead of IPL 2026 – Watch | Cricket News

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Rishabh Pant undergoes special training with Yuvraj Singh ahead of IPL 2026 – Watch | Cricket News


Rishabh Pant undergoes special training with Yuvraj Singh ahead of IPL 2026 - Watch
Yuvraj Singh and Rishabh Pant (X-LSG)

Mumbai: Before launching into IPL-2026, India’s ‘keeper-bat Rishabh Pant went through a few training sessions under the watchful eyes of India’s 2011 World Cup hero Yuvraj Singh at the Cricket Club of India in Mumbai last week. Pant, who leads the Lucknow Super Giants in the IPL, is working to regain form and revive his white-ball career after enduring an ordinary IPL last year, scoring 269 runs in 14 matches, with a highest score of 118 not out and a strike rate of 133.16.It marked his lowest return in the competition since his debut season in 2016. With their captain in poor form, LSG finished seventh in the standings.

Spectators are priority! Here’s what IPL must learn from the SA20 experience

“Rishabh is very focused on reviving his white-ball career, which is why he sought Yuvraj‘s help ahead of IPL-2026. He underwent a few training sessions for three to four days with Yuvraj at CCI in Mumbai before leaving for LSG’s camp in Chennai,” a source tracking developments told TOI.In a video which gained significant traction on social media of their training session, the keeper-batter can be seen facing deliveries while the superstar left-hander closely watches from the umpire’s position.Pant endured a poor season with LSG in IPL 2025Notably, the training was arguably arranged after a challenging campaign in the previous edition of the cash-rich league. Last year, Pant managed only 269 runs across the tournament. A late century helped improve the numbers, but the overall campaign remained underwhelming for a player known for his explosive batting.Pant was not a part of India’s recent T20 World Cup-winning team and is the second-choice ‘keeper-batsman in ODIs after KL Rahul.Yuvraj has been mentoring and training several young players in recent years, with India’s Test and ODI captain Shubman Gill, India’s T20 opener Abhishek Sharma and Punjab Kings opener Prabhsimran Singh having found success after enjoying his guidance. Yuvraj had even trained India’s T20 World Cup hero Sanju Samson in the past. He has been mentoring Pant over the last few years.A feared batter in the red-ball format, Pant will be hoping that Yuvraj’s guidance can help him turn around his fortunes ahead of the next IPL season. Perhaps he can seek inspiration from fellow ‘keeper-batters Sanju Samson and Ishan Kishan, who both made splendid comebacks to star in India’s T20 World Cup triumph recently.

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Anupamaa: Rupali Ganguly reveals Anu is set to begin a new chapter of life

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Anupamaa: Rupali Ganguly reveals Anu is set to begin a new chapter of life



Anupamaa: Rupali Ganguly reveals Anu is set to begin a new chapter of life

Anupamaa continues to rule television with its incredibly engaging storyline that keeps audiences hooked with constant twists, drama, and emotional turns. This is exactly what has kept viewers invested in the show for so long. The latest track introduces a leap in the story, as Anupama begins a new chapter of her life in Goa.

Upcoming track in Anupamaa

The latest promos show her starting afresh chapter selling theplas and dhoklas on a Goa beach while sharing a warm bond with a little girl who lives with her. The promo also introduces a new entry of Sachin Tyagi, who will play a role in Anupama’s journey ahead.

Rupali Ganguly, who plays the beloved character of Anupama, reflected on Anupama’s journey and spoke about how the character continues to inspire many women, saying, “I feel truly blessed to play Anupama. She is a woman who faces many challenges in life, yet she continues to stand strong and rise again. Through the various safars of Anupama, the character reflects the journeys and tribulations of many women, as every woman’s path is different. Some may relate to what Anupama experienced in her earlier phase, while others may connect with the ones that follow, but what remains constant is her resilience and her ability to never lose her self-worth while doing her best through whatever life brings.”

Rupali Ganguly talks about the upcoming leap and Sachin Tyagi`s entry in the show

Talking about the leap and the new twist, Rupali Ganguly promised something truly engaging for the audience, sharing, “Now, after Prarthana`s death, Anupama begins a new chapter of her life in Goa following the leap, where she is living with Devika’s daughter aSnd navigating new emotions and responsibilities, and with a new entry and several unexpected twists ahead, the upcoming track will bring many moments that the audience will truly enjoy.”

Audiences are eagerly waiting to see how Anupama’s new journey unfolds after the leap. With a fresh start in Goa and the entry of Sachin Tyagi adding a new family in Anu`s life, viewers are excited to watch how her story moves forward and continues to inspire. 


Navneet Kaur scores a hattrick as India beat Wales; to face Italy in semis

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Navneet Kaur scores a hattrick as India beat Wales; to face Italy in semis



Navneet Kaur scores a hattrick as India beat Wales; to face Italy in semis

Navneet Kaur scored a hat-trick as India secured a dominant 4-1 victory against Wales in a Pool B clash at the women`s hockey World Cup Qualifiers here on Wednesday. Kaur (29`, 34`, 55`) led the attack with three goals after Sakshi Rana (7`)`s early strike at the GMC Balayogi Hockey Ground. Though India had secured a semi-final berth ahead of the fixture, the result ensured they finished as table-toppers. India will now take on Italy on Friday to seal their spot in the final.

India`s speed was on full display in the first quarter as they put immense pressure on their opponents with quick breakaways, despite a high press from the Welsh team. The hosts took the lead as early as the seventh minute when Salima Tete orchestrated a move down the right flank and Sakshi unleashed a powerful reverse hit from the edge of the circle.

India continued to press soon after, with Udita coming close to doubling the lead from a penalty corner, but her effort was cleared off the line. India carried the momentum into the second quarter. On a lightning quick counterattack, Navneet and Lalremsiami linked up with precision, but the final through ball to Lalremsiami was shut down by Wales` Goalkeeper Ffion Horrell. Indian goalkeeper Bichu Devi was called into action at the 25-minute mark but she did well to keep out Wales` first penalty corner of the night.

India came close to a second goal through a penalty corner in the 27th minute, but Manisha`s effort was inches wide. Just two minutes later, in another penalty corner, Navneet powered a low shot into goal to double India`s lead. The goal capped a dominant first half for India that saw them hold 55&#37 of the possession with as many as 15 circle entries. India stayed on the prowl in the third quarter. Neha came close to finding the back of the net with a reverse hit in the 31st minute but the shot was padded away.

In the 34th minute, a silky run from Sakshi earned India a penalty corner and Navneet made no mistake in completing her brace and making it 3-0. It was Betsan Thomas (39`) who cut down the deficit for Wales, making the most of momentary lapse by India in the circle as she threaded the ball into the net from a tight angle to make it 3-1. In the final quarter, Wales had a chance to turn up the pressure on the hosts when they were awarded a penalty stroke in the 50th minute, but Wales captain Elizabeth Bingham`s shot was off target. Navneet then went on to complete her hat-trick converting a penalty stroke in the 55th minute.

This story has been sourced from a third party syndicated feed, agencies. Mid-day accepts no responsibility or liability for its dependability, trustworthiness, reliability and data of the text. Mid-day management/mid-day.com reserves the sole right to alter, delete or remove (without notice) the content in its absolute discretion for any reason whatsoever


Anupam Kher and Boman Irani`s Khosla Ka Ghosla 2 locks release date

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Anupam Kher and Boman Irani`s Khosla Ka Ghosla 2 locks release date



Anupam Kher and Boman Irani`s Khosla Ka Ghosla 2 locks release date

Dibakar Banerjee’s 2006 comedy drama, Khosla Ka Ghosla, starring Anupam Kher, Boman Irani, Parvin Dabas, Vinay Pathak, Ranvir Shorey, and Tara Sharma in the lead roles, has gained cult status in the years since it was released on the big screen. And now, there’s some good news for fans of the film. The much-loved cult classic film is officially making its big-screen comeback with a sequel. The makers have now announced the release date.

Khosla Ka Ghosla 2 release date

The comic caper is arriving in theatres on August 28, 2026. Produced by T-Series Films and Tandav Films and directed by Prashant Bhagia, the sequel unfolds the story of the iconic Khosla family promises a nostalgic yet fresh outing — rooted in warmth, wit, and familiar charm.

 
 
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A post shared by tseriesfilms (@tseriesfilms)

The shoot for the sequel began this year. Anupam Kher shared some BTS moments from the sets. He wrote, “KHOSLAS ARE BACK AND HOW: I have been in movies now for four decades. But never have I experienced this crazy anticipation for the sequel of any movie (including international) as in the case of #KhoslaKaGhosla2! I wonder what is it that resonates with the magic of this film! Please share with what you think are the REASONS for this excitement from all age groups! I am genuinely curious!! Jai Mata Di! #Sequel #CultClassic. (sic)” Earlier, welcoming Ravi Kishan to the cast, Kher posted a video on social media, expressing his excitement to work with an actor like him. The announcement also coincides with a major milestone in Anupam Kher’s career, as it marks his 550th film.

More about Khosla Ka Ghosla

The first part tells the story of Kamal Kishore Khosla (Anupam Kher), who lives with his family in Delhi. He invests his hard-earned money, amounting to Rs 30 lakh, to buy a plot of land in South Delhi. Trouble arises when a powerful builder, Kishan Khurana (Boman Irani), usurps this plot. This is when Khosla`s sons and family friends come up with a novel and amusing plan to teach Khurana a lesson.




Sunrisers Leeds, Indian-owned franchise, sign Pakistan’s Abrar Ahmed at The Hundred auction, trigger backlash for move

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Sunrisers Leeds, Indian-owned franchise, sign Pakistan’s Abrar Ahmed at The Hundred auction, trigger backlash for move


Sunrisers Leeds secured the services of Abrar Ahmed at The Hundred Auction 2026. The signing has drawn attentionamid ongoing political strain between India and Pakistan, especially given the franchise’s India-based ownership group, which also owns Sunrisers Hyderabad in the IPL. Before the auction, there had been widespread reports suggesting that teams owned by Indian Premier League franchise groups were unlikely to bid for players from Pakistan; however, Sunrisers made the bold move by acquiring Abrar for 190,000 pounds (approximately ₹2.3 crore).

Abrar Ahmed signed by Sunrisers Leeds in The Hundred. (AFP)
Abrar Ahmed signed by Sunrisers Leeds in The Hundred. (AFP)

Ownership links between The Hundred and the Indian Premier League have grown stronger in recent years. Four franchises in the tournament – Manchester Super Giants, MI London, Southern Brave and Sunrisers Leeds – now have partial ownership ties with companies that operate IPL teams.

Kavya Maran was seated at the auction table with head coach Daniel Vettori when Sunrisers Leeds made their move for Ahmed during The Hundred Auction 2026. Leeds eventually secured the mystery spinner after surpassing a bid from Trent Rockets. The signing drew attention, given that players from Pakistan have not appeared in the IPL since 2008, largely due to the long-standing political tensions between India and Pakistan.

The Sunrisers group, which also runs a side in the SA20, had previously never recruited a Pakistani cricketer, making the decision a talking point online.

Also Read – India are not the ‘frauds’ of world cricket anymore, western media’s ridicule laid to rest with a barrage of trophies

Earlier in the auction, Usman Tariq became the first player from Pakistan to be picked, joining Birmingham Phoenix for £140,000 after interest from multiple teams.

Haris Rauf, Shadab Khan unsold

Meanwhile, Shaheen Shah Afridi opted out of the men’s draft, while fellow pacer Haris Rauf went unsold after entering the auction with a reserve price of £100,000 during the event held in London on Thursday. All-rounder Shadab Khan and young batter Saim Ayub were also part of the draft pool, but neither player managed to attract a bid.

Fatima Sana and Sadia Iqbal were the only players from Pakistan in the women’s draft but neither found a buyer. The 2026 season of The Hundred, which includes both men’s and women’s tournaments, is scheduled to begin on July 21 and will run for four weeks.


Emotional Amitabh Bachchan pens note as he mourns death of a ‘very dear friend’: One by one they all leave

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Emotional Amitabh Bachchan pens note as he mourns death of a ‘very dear friend’: One by one they all leave


Actor Amitabh Bachchan got emotional as he mourned the death of a ‘very dear friend’. Taking to his blog on Thursday, Amitabh penned a note as he remembered his friend.

Amitabh Bachchan talked about his late friend in a new note.
Amitabh Bachchan talked about his late friend in a new note.

Amitabh Bachchan mourns death of his friend, pens a note

Praising his late friend, Amitabh wrote that he always found “a way out of the most difficult” and was “filled with immense affection and humour.” Amitabh wrote, “Lost another very dear friend .. one filled with immense affection and humour.”

“A force to reckon with in any situation .. always finding a way out of the most difficult .. a smile on his face ever .. just cannot imagine he is gone .. one by one they all leave .. (crying face emoji),” concluded his note.

Fans condole death of Amitabh’s friend

Reacting to his post, a fan wrote, “May god give you the strength to bear this loss. May god give the best place to the soul of your dear friend.” A comment read, “So sorry about another one of your friend’s demises, pls accept my heartfelt condolences and prayers. May the Almighty bless his soul, rest in peace always. May the almighty give you all the strength, courage, and power in this difficult, sad time.”

A person said, “My prayers to the departed in this time of grief.” Another fan commented, “Sad to hear about your Friend. Condolences & Prayers.” Another comment read, “Really sorry for your loss and deep condolences for it. It’s hard to hear news like this, as one closes, it goes away suddenly, one day we never imagined. Sadly, somehow life and time are unpredictable and uncertain. Hope you will find courage and strength to comprehend in this situation.”

Amitabh takes to his blog to talk about and pen notes for his late friends. Last year, when actor Dharmendra died, Amitabh had spoken about him at length. A part of his note read, “Dharam ji, the epitome of greatness, ever linked not only for his renowned physical presence, but for the largeness of his heart, and its most endearing simplicity.”

“He brought with him the earthiness of the village in Punjab he came from, and remained true to its temperament, unsoiled throughout his glorious career, in a fraternity that witnessed changes every decade. The fraternity underwent changes, not him. His smile, his charm and his warmth, extending to all that came in his vicinity, a rarity in the profession,” he had added.

About Amitabh’s films

Amitabh last featured in Vettaiyan, a Tamil-language action drama film directed by TJ Gnanavel and produced by Subaskaran Allirajah’s Lyca Productions. The film also stars Rajinikanth, Manju Warrier, Fahadh Faasil, Rana Daggubati, Ritika Singh, Dushara Vijayan, Rohini, Rao Ramesh, Abhirami and Ramesh Thilak. He will also be seen in the sequel to Nag Ashwin’s film Kalki 2898 AD and Ayan Mukerji’s Brahmastra Part 2.


India’s inflation rate rises to 3.21% in February before Iran war impact shows| Business News

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India’s inflation rate rises to 3.21% in February before Iran war impact shows| Business News


India’s inflation rate rose in February even before the full impact of the Iran war shows on the world’s fourth largest economy. However, it’s still below the RBI’s inflation target.

India's inflation rate rose in February even before the full impact of the Iran war shows on the world's fourth largest economy.
India’s inflation rate rose in February even before the full impact of the Iran war shows on the world’s fourth largest economy.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure of retail inflation, rose to 3.21% last month as against a revised 2.74% in January, according to government data on Thursday. That compares with the Reserve Bank of India’s estimate of 2.1% in FY26, 4% in Q1 FY27 and 4.2% in Q2 FY27. The RBI’s inflation target is set at 4% with a tolerance band of 2% to 6%.

Food inflation was at 3.47% in February as compared with 2.13% a month ago.

The ongoing Iran war—which has pushed crude oil prices to four-year highs—is certain to weigh on New Delhi’s inflation math as India is the world’s third-largest oil importer. Earlier this week, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said that the government does not expect a sharp rise in inflation, but a government report released last week said that a prolonged Iran war could weaken the rupee and widen India’s current account deficit.

According to CLSA, every 10% increase in crude oil prices raises retail inflation by 40 to 60 basis points. One basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point.

Oil prices soared over $119/barrel earlier this week, the highest intraday prices since June 2022, but hopes of the war de-escalating and the International Energy Agency’s decision to release a record 400 million barrels of oil from strategic stockpiles has brought down prices of the commodity.